Jason asked:
Has anyone seen the movie or read the book: 2001: A Space Odyssey. I was wondering when computer science and engineering will be able to produce such an advanced piece of artificial intelligence that Hal was. When will we be able to invent an Artificial Intelligence that is almost as belivable as a human?
Has anyone seen the movie or read the book: 2001: A Space Odyssey. I was wondering when computer science and engineering will be able to produce such an advanced piece of artificial intelligence that Hal was. When will we be able to invent an Artificial Intelligence that is almost as belivable as a human?
I’m betting probably within the next 50 years.
Doug
In about 10 to 15 years, the most advanced supercomputers should be as powerful as a human brain. But this is just hardware, will it have the required software to make it truly sentient yet? That is the big debate, as some claim that truly sentient machine will never happen (and one wonders where they take that assurance from…).
So, mark your calendar: in about 20 years, machines as smart as humans will begin to be common place, and we’ll all be out of a job, being replaced by tireless and smarter than humans robots.
What will we do then?
Join them, by having electronic “enhancements” implanted in our bodies just to keep up with our creations?
We are almost there. There are Robots that can move and function totally on their own. There have also been advancements in hardware like the robot skin. It consists of 2 layers of conductive material designed to read very minute physical details of texture and pressure. This robot skin is supposed to be about twice as sensitive as the average finger tip.
One that answers no, there will never be artificial intelligence can only be wrong. He may also be right, but there is no way to prove that. People are trying to make artificial intelligences, but they usually aren’t very impressive. The thing that separates us from a computer is our ability to learn(namely from our mistakes) and our desire to do so. The biggest problem we’ll have(I think) is programing a computer to learn. Another problem is that people will try to stop us from creating AIs. By law or by sword people will try to stop us. And rightly so, such a technology could know everything, connect to the net and learn anything it doesn’t know. Because it is what it is made from it could easily understand itself, reprogram itself into a well monster. Anything could happen. You get the idea. Well to answer your initial question, I think we’ll develop a fare artificial intelligence within 50 years, however the true AI that could pose us a threat is far in the futere.
I think people overestimate today\’s (and tomorrow\’s) hardware. Yes, it will reach the speed of all of the neuron of a human brain combined, but still be very serial when compared to the brain. No, I don\’t think the brain is the only way to go, but it is our only example.
As V said, even if hardware gets there, software is still very far away. Our programming techniques aren\’t even close to what we will likely need. Our understanding of human intelligence is also lacking. Can anyone describe what \’understanding\’ really is?
No, we are a LONG way off, which is a good thing. After all, how would out society handle a true AI?